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             03/09/07           
              Livestock farmers need an urgent lift in the prices they are
                paid if supermarkets are to have continued supplies of local
                food, according to NFU Scotland which is in urgent talks with
              the major retailers.  
              
             
            The price of grain for animal feed has doubled over the last year
              and these spiralling costs have driven livestock farmers into a
              loss-making situation (see figures in Notes to Editors). The crisis
              is particularly acute in the pigs and poultry industry with farmers
              facing a disastrous situation in the coming weeks in the absence
            of significant rises in the farmgate price.  
		    NFUS has emphasised the global factors that are driving this increase
		      in food production costs. These include an expanding world population
		      and an increase in affluence within the largest countries like China
		      and India - this is translating into improved diets and increased consumption
		      of products like meat and milk. On top of this, flooding and droughts
		      - a consequence of climate change – together with an increase in
		      crops being grown for biofuels are all reducing the land available to
		      produce food on.  
		    NFUS President Jim McLaren said:  
		    “Is it not an exaggeration to say the Scottish livestock industry
		      is facing a meltdown unless the spiralling cost of rearing and taking
		      care of livestock is reflected in the prices farmers are paid. Supermarkets
		      must understand that the same factors which have driven dairy farmers
		      out of business and landed the country with a milk shortage, are now
		      hitting the whole livestock sector.  
		    “The pigs and poultry sectors are staring into an abyss at present.
		      Pig farmers are losing money on every pig they sell and the story is
		      no better for egg and chicken producers.  
		    “The fact is that global shortages are at last driving cereal
		      prices back to a sustainable level. However for livestock producers who
		      require grain for feed, the effect on production costs is horrific. The
		      price they were receiving was already woeful. This unprecedented rise
		      in costs has led farmers to question their future and I believe it could
		      spell the end of guaranteed supplies of Scottish meat and meat products
		      on supermarket shelves. That is obviously not what farmers want and,
		      crucially, it is not what consumers want. Supermarkets must now stand
		      up to their warm words of commitment to local food production. They must
		      also meet their responsibility to their customers by securing future
		      supplies with higher prices for suppliers.  
		    “Substantial rises in the prices farmers receive do not have to
		      mean big hikes at the tills. Food sold by retailers incorporates a significant
		      mark-up and, for example, a 25% increase in the price a farmer receive
		      for pigs - which would just cover rising costs - would only equate to
		      about four pence on a packet of ham or 10 pence on a packet of bacon.
		      However, it is for retailers to decide whether they want to charge their
		      customers more or absorb these costs within their own significant margins.”  More/…  
		      2/…  
		    NOTES: 
		    
		      - In August 2006, wheat for animal feed cost approximately £80
	          per tonne. Today the price is around £170 per tonne. 
 
	          - Unless there
		        is a farmgate price increase, pig farmers are facing a loss of
	            between £5
	          and £13 on every pig sold. 
 
		      - The cost of producing a dozen eggs
		        has gone up 12p per dozen
 
	           
		     
		    Even if the entire price rise farmers needed was passed on to consumers,
		      the impact would be relatively small – and that is presuming supermarkets
		      won’t cut their profit margin and will instead ask their customers
		      to pay. For example: 
		    
		      -  A 30p/kg rise for pig farmers – to cover extra
		        feed costs – would represent a rise of only 13p on a typical
		        pack of pork steaks or sausages, 10 pence on a pack of bacon
		        and 4 pence on a pack of sliced ham. 
 
	          - The doubling of wheat prices only
		        adds 8 pence to the price of a loaf (every £10 per tonne increase
		        in wheat prices is equivalent to one pence on the retail price
		        of bread). 
 
		      - If malting barley doubled in price, it would add around
		        3 pence to a bottle of whisky. 
 
		      - In the last year of its life,
		        a prime suckler beef animal will eat around one tonne of barley.
		        The cost of this has increased from £90/t
		        to £170/t. Suckler beef producers need an extra 25p per kilo
		        deadweight, just to cover that individual cost.
 
		     		    
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